Description

This analysis provides a forecast of COTI prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-07-06 0.032287 0.037735 0.043741 0.050841 0.058994 0.068051 0.078863
2025-07-13 0.025733 0.033234 0.042269 0.053909 0.068453 0.085969 0.108604
2025-07-20 0.020857 0.029407 0.040538 0.055977 0.076704 0.103420 0.140289
2025-07-27 0.016295 0.024896 0.036909 0.054715 0.080196 0.115055 0.165993
2025-08-03 0.013197 0.021688 0.034323 0.054194 0.084277 0.127633 0.194213
2025-08-10 0.010592 0.018639 0.031341 0.052443 0.086079 0.136904 0.218520
2025-08-17 0.008687 0.016292 0.028975 0.051131 0.088148 0.146526 0.244113
2025-08-24 0.007419 0.014757 0.027625 0.051157 0.092177 0.159396 0.275858
2025-08-31 0.006194 0.013050 0.025675 0.049807 0.093620 0.168088 0.301562
2025-09-07 0.005657 0.012537 0.025756 0.052015 0.101390 0.187978 0.347732
2025-09-14 0.004946 0.011535 0.024755 0.052041 0.105173 0.201284 0.383735
2025-09-21 0.004206 0.010329 0.023152 0.050657 0.106099 0.209501 0.411359
2025-09-28 0.003629 0.009383 0.021964 0.049987 0.108426 0.220719 0.445982
2025-10-05 0.003412 0.009227 0.022421 0.052783 0.117970 0.246451 0.510209
2025-10-12 0.003148 0.008906 0.022464 0.054695 0.125916 0.269860 0.572144
2025-10-19 0.002707 0.008047 0.021145 0.053402 0.126945 0.279658 0.608280
2025-10-26 0.002374 0.007402 0.020219 0.052863 0.129512 0.292765 0.652171
2025-11-02 0.002027 0.006640 0.018878 0.051138 0.129196 0.299795 0.684143
2025-11-09 0.001751 0.006018 0.017786 0.049850 0.129698 0.308554 0.720440
2025-11-16 0.001568 0.005633 0.017249 0.049871 0.133267 0.324279 0.772960
2025-11-23 0.001358 0.005112 0.016253 0.048551 0.133413 0.332352 0.809374
2025-11-30 0.001292 0.005050 0.016541 0.050706 0.142439 0.361449 0.895146
2025-12-07 0.001164 0.004747 0.016078 0.050732 0.146044 0.378266 0.954359